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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Market News: Russian President Vladimir Putin will extend the ban on the sale of petroleum and petroleum products against the crude oil price ceiling until June 30, 2025.Trump: For me, the stock market is everything. US President-elect Trump rang the opening bell on the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday, and he was named the person of the year in 2024 by Time magazine. After ringing the bell, Trump said in an interview, "If you don't produce (goods) here (in the United States), you have to pay 21% tax. If you produce here, we will try to reduce the tax rate to 15%. You must produce your products in the United States. " Trump also attributed the recent rise in the stock market to his defeat of Biden (not Harris). "I have always said that for me, the stock market is everything. This is very important. " He also revealed that after returning to the White House, he will establish closer ties with some of the richest and most influential people.

The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit 1.05 upwards, rising by 0.33% in the day.The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)US Secretary of State Blinken visited Baghdad to discuss the Syrian issue with Iraqi Prime Minister. On December 13th, local time, US Secretary of State Blinken visited the Iraqi capital Baghdad and held talks with Iraqi Prime Minister Al-Sudani on the Syrian issue. The State Council has not announced the itinerary of Blinken's visit before. (CCTV News)

Kering's Butterfly Family appointed Louise Trotter as the new creative director. On December 13th, kering and its brand Bottega Veneta announced that Louise Trotter would be the new creative director of the brand. Trott is the current creative director of Carven, and she will officially join the Butterfly Family at the end of January 2025.Texas, the United States, explored relevant legislation on the establishment of a strategic reserve for Bitcoin. A state representative from Texas, the United States, submitted a proposal on the establishment of a strategic reserve for Bitcoin on the 12 th. According to American media reports, so far, at least 10 States in the United States have discussed relevant legislation. (Xinhua News Agency)Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture: It is estimated that Ukraine's grain output will be close to 55 million tons in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 54 million tons. It is estimated that Ukraine's grain exports in 2024/25 may include 16.2 million tons of wheat, 20.5 million tons of corn and 2.9 million tons of barley. It is estimated that Ukraine's total grain export in 2024/25 will be 40.3 million tons, compared with 51 million tons in 2023/24.